Melquizael Costa — Jared Gordon: fight result and stats
Tale of the tape
UFC Stats data as of 8 November 2026
How they win
UFC statistics
per fight on averageBookmakers' last odds
76% CostaGordon 24%
Pre-fight and live line. Sharp jumps usually follow knockdowns and lost rounds.
since the line opened, 2 November
Chances — from the odds without the margin. The odds are for information only.
Recent fights
Pre-match preview
UFC 334 brings together two fighters at very different stages of their careers as Melquizael Costa takes on Jared Gordon in a lightweight contest. For Costa, this represents an important new chapter after an impressive featherweight run was halted by Arnold Allen. For Gordon, it is an opportunity to halt a difficult spell and reassert himself against a younger opponent with considerable finishing ability. The matchup offers an intriguing contrast between Costa's dynamic striking and Gordon's experience, pressure and ability to work at a relentless pace.
Costa's move up opens a new chapter
At 30, Melquizael Costa arrives with a professional record of 26 wins and eight defeats, including seven victories in the UFC. Known as The Dalmatian, the Brazilian has developed a reputation as an entertaining and aggressive fighter who can finish opponents in several ways. His record includes nine career knockouts and eight submission victories.
Costa's recent progress has been particularly impressive. After experiencing some early difficulties in the UFC, he put together a six-fight winning streak, collecting victories over Andre Fili, Christian Rodriguez, Julian Erosa and Morgan Charriere before stopping Dan Ige with a spectacular spinning back kick in February 2026.
That run came to an end against Arnold Allen in May. Costa lost a unanimous decision after five rounds, with Allen demonstrating superior technical control and consistency. Rather than allowing the defeat to derail his ambitions, the Brazilian has chosen to change divisions. He announced his intention to leave featherweight because the demanding weight cuts had become increasingly difficult for his body.
The move to lightweight is therefore significant. Costa has previously competed at 155 pounds, but this contest offers another opportunity to establish himself at the higher weight without the physical demands of his previous division.
Gordon's experience and the need for a response
At 38, Jared Gordon brings considerably more UFC experience. His professional record stands at 21 wins, nine defeats and one no-contest, with 18 UFC appearances. Known as Flash, the American has built his reputation on forward pressure, energetic striking and a willingness to remain involved in demanding exchanges.
His most recent performances, however, have been disappointing. Gordon suffered a stoppage defeat against Rafa Garcia in September 2025 before returning against veteran Jim Miller in May 2026. That contest ended in the opening round when Miller caught Gordon with a guillotine choke at 3:29.
The two defeats represent a difficult period for a fighter who had previously shown that he could compete effectively with established lightweights. His first-round knockout of Thiago Moises in May 2025 remains a reminder of his offensive potential, particularly when he can establish his rhythm and force opponents to fight at his preferred pace.
Gordon's local connections also add interest to the contest. Born in New York, he will compete at Madison Square Garden in a familiar city. His experience in the UFC and ability to deal with the atmosphere of major events could prove valuable, particularly against an opponent making an important divisional transition.
Striking styles could determine the outcome
Costa is a southpaw who combines varied kicking attacks with accurate combinations and the ability to threaten opponents from unusual angles. His statistics show an average of 4.29 significant strikes landed per minute, with 47% accuracy. He absorbs 3.19 per minute, suggesting that he is generally effective offensively without relying entirely on defence.
The Brazilian also has a useful physical advantage. At 177.8 cm tall, with a reach of 180.3 cm, he is slightly taller and considerably longer than Gordon. His ability to work from distance could make it difficult for the American to enter safely and establish his preferred exchanges.
Gordon, an orthodox fighter, has the higher striking output on paper. He averages 5.57 significant strikes landed per minute, with an accuracy rate of 53%. However, he also absorbs 4.11 per minute. This suggests that his aggressive approach can produce considerable offensive activity but may leave opportunities for a technically varied opponent to respond.
The key for Gordon will be to close the distance, disrupt Costa's kicking game and make the contest physically demanding. Costa, meanwhile, will want to use his reach, movement and southpaw angles to prevent Gordon from establishing sustained pressure.
Wrestling and finishing opportunities
Although striking is likely to attract much of the attention, the grappling exchanges could be equally important. Gordon averages 1.91 takedowns per 15 minutes and has a takedown defence rate of 60%. His willingness to change levels and use wrestling alongside his striking gives him another route to controlling the contest.
Costa averages 1.53 takedowns per 15 minutes and has a 50% takedown defence rate. His submission activity is also notable, at 0.8 attempts per 15 minutes. With eight submission victories across his professional career, the Brazilian cannot be considered solely a stand-up specialist.
Both fighters have reasons to avoid unnecessary mistakes on the ground. Gordon needs to be careful when attempting takedowns, particularly against an opponent capable of attacking from defensive positions. Costa must also avoid allowing the American to establish prolonged top control, where Gordon's experience and physical pressure could become important.
A crucial opportunity for both fighters
The contest has significance beyond another appearance on a major UFC card. Costa is looking to demonstrate that his success at featherweight can translate into the lightweight division. A victory over an established UFC veteran would strengthen his position and provide a positive start to his new campaign.
For Gordon, the challenge is equally important. Another defeat would make his recent run increasingly difficult to overlook, while a convincing performance against a younger opponent could restore confidence and demonstrate that he remains competitive at this level.
The supplied assessment gives Costa a 75% chance of winning, compared with 25% for Gordon. Costa's advantage has increased slightly from the initial assessment of 73%, making the Brazilian the more likely winner.
The likely outcome favours Costa, particularly because of his recent finishing performances, reach advantage and greater momentum before the Allen defeat. Nevertheless, Gordon's higher striking volume, wrestling experience and familiarity with lightweight competition give him a realistic route to an upset.
Ultimately, the decisive factor may be whether Costa can make his physical advantages count at 155 pounds. If he maintains distance and controls the striking exchanges, his technical variety could prove too much for Gordon. If the American turns the fight into a demanding contest built around pressure and wrestling, his experience could bring him back into contention.

